The intersection of McCulloch and S. Tanner has become GROUND ZERO for traffic problems considering this new idea to cross the Econ at McCulloch Road.
Why am I completely against this crossing AT THIS TIME?
Numbers! Purely numbers and facts!
LOS = Level Of Service. LOS is a designation that Orange county uses to rate roads. As shown below from the traffic study for the Lake Pickett North (LPN) (Rybolt) development, the section from Lockwood to N. Tanner is rated “F” (Exist LOS on the chart).
There is no worse designation!
Notice the cap of 880. 880 is the threshold that takes a road from “D” to “F”. Notice the 1,300 (Peak Hr Volume). This means that this section of roadway is 1,300 – 880 = 420 trips above an “F”. In English, it is a really really bad “F”. Like your kid getting a 30% on a test. That’s a really bad “F”. So this section is really bad. You say, “What else is new, we all know that”. Read on….
Let’s project some numbers based on LOS.
880 is an “F” for a 2-lane roadway.
2,000 is an “F” for a 4-lane roadway.
Let’s just say that Orange County 4-lanes McCulloch Road in this section so an “F” becomes 2,000 trips.
Without LPN, traffic is already at 1,300 so it is not an “F” if it were 4-laned but still not good. LPN wants 1,999 homes. Peak trips are about 2,000 trips overall and if you look at the little diagram below you see 50%. That number means that LPN is going to contribute 50% of the peak trips or about 1,000 trips onto that section of roadway.
1,300 + 1,000 = 2,300 making that section of roadway an “F”.
And don’t forget the other mega development with over 2,000 units with traffic that will come over on Lake Pickett and up N. Tanner to the exact same interchange causing even more problems.
Don’t forget the traffic from the north that would otherwise go across on 419 coming instead down Lockwood or Old Lockwood to GROUND ZERO!
Folks, as good as it sounds to put this road in now and as much as you want to support this, it is by no means a solution. All this will do is just add more cars to an already congested road and we will be in exact same mess or worse.
The solution is to first fix connectivity on the west side of the Econ and put in a 4-lane road called the Richard Crotty Parkway that goes from the end of Research Parkway over to N. Tanner. This will divert traffic off of the section on McCulloch that is already an “F” and give it relief. It will also provide a south entrance to UCF from the east as well as a way into Research Park. After all, the developers have told us that the bulk of people who will be living in their houses will work at UCF or Research Park so doesn’t it make sense to give them a better way to get there. My feeling overall is the density the developers on Lake Pickett North is too high for the infrastructure to handle and must be reduced.
Orange County must put this road in first before even thinking about crossing the Econ at McCulloch.
Key note: Orange County must maintain roads above a certain LOS. How will putting a bridge across the road fix anything given that in time, this road reverts right back to an “F”.
Any good soldier knows that the most critical factor in any war is supply line. You can’t fight a battle with a broken supply line and that is exactly what Orange County is thinking about doing. First you must strengthen your supply line before moving forward. Fix the roads on the West side of the Econ before even thinking about crossing over. Putting in another road across the Econ into a broken road system doesn’t solve the problem.
If you have read down this far, here is my view on LPN. The density is way to high. It is a land locked area with no good ways to move traffic and no way to effectively accomodate all the traffic. It is also in an environmentally sensitive area located right next to the Econ. If this is going to be a viable development, density must be reduced. It is just too high. On another note, no thought has been put into multi-modal transportation like buses, bicycles or other forms of transportation. We are stuck in the world of cars and it is the reason our traffic problems are so intense.